Chapter 7. Acceleration – Guiding Our Extraordinary Future

I. Three Views of Change

We now turn to Global and Universal Foresight, both of which are by far the largest of the POGU Foresight Domains, in topics, literature, and economic value. We need to discuss both together as long-term global foresight depends particularly on universal foresight, as that domain offers us our best general perspective on complexity and change.  Universal foresight includes a survey of both science and philosophy on topics like change, progress, purpose, and our universe as a special system that has generated us.

We’ll discuss universal foresight both in this chapter, Acceleration, and in Chapter 11, Evo Devo Foresight. In both chapters, we will consider our universe from the perspective of both science and systems theory (testable philosophy), and see what that Big Picture view can tell us about not only our universe, but also our species, our societies, and ourselves. As you’ll see, there’s much to be gained from this view, and a lot still to be discovered.

The biggest single positive change that can happen with better universal and global foresight, as we described in our introduction, is that we can come to see the world through new eyes. We can foresee a future of abundance, but the truth is we are surrounded by abundant opportunities, right now. We just need a change of mindset to see that abundance.

For a good general overview of global foresight please browse our bibliography of excellent Global Foresight Books, and Global Foresight Reports. The US National Intelligence Council’s public Global Trends report, which looks out five to twenty years at the global landscape, every four years since 1997, is my current best single source to start with in thinking about the coming global landscape. Their foresight process gets more inclusive and effective with every report. Global Trends: Paradox of Progress, 2017 is the best they’ve produced yet, in my view.

This chapter will introduce you to the biggest megatrend driving our future–accelerating change. Something really curious is happening in our universe, to life, and to human society. Certain things are always going faster every year. Understanding why that is, and what we can expect next, can be called acceleration studies, an academic discipline that doesn’t yet exist, but should.

In 2003, I co-founded a small nonprofit, the Acceleration Studies Foundation, to try to attract attention and funding to this still-neglected but very future-important topic. In 2008, I co-founded a small academic research community, Evo Devo Universe, to attract scholars to the topic of understanding the intrinsically unpredictable and predictable aspects of universal change.

Again, Chapters 7 and 11 will offer my best general thinking on what will continue to accelerate in human society, and why and how its complexity, intelligence, interdependence, and immunity will grow, and how we can learn to see and guide that acceleration in ways that create better individuals, teams, organizations, and societies.

But before we go there, we need to look at three useful ways we can view change itself. These are three hats we can all wear, at different times, when we think about and adapt to change. As we’ll see, the first of the hats is an optimistic one, the second a defensive one, and the third a particularly (I think) comprehensive one.  The faster things change, the more we’re going to need to use all three of these hats, in different contexts, and help others do the same.

We occasionally use acronyms in the Guide to help you remember future-important things. We’ve made acronyms for each of these three hats, as you’ll now see. If you think we’re missing an important concept, or have too many in each acronym, let us know. I hope you find value in all three of these views of change in your journey to becoming a better manager and leader.

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Table of Contents


Chapter 2. Personal Foresight – Becoming an Effective Self-Leader

Chapter 2: Personal Foresight

Becoming an Effective Self-Leader

Chapter 4. Models – Foundations for Organizational Foresight

Chapter 4: Models

Foundations for Organizational Foresight

Chapter 7. Acceleration – Guiding Our Extraordinary Future

Chapter 7: Acceleration

Guiding Our Extraordinary Future (In Process)

II. Global Progress: 5 Goals, 10 Values, Many Trends

Innovation: Our Abundant Future
Intelligence: Our Augmented Future
Interdependence: Our Civil Future
Immunity: Our Protected Future
Sustainability: Our Rebalanced Future

III. Universal Accelerating Change

Great Race to Inner Space: Our Surprising Future
Entropy&Information: We’re Running Down & Up
The Puzzle of Meaning: We Have No Einstein Yet
Trees, Funnels & Landscapes: Intro to Evo Devo
Big Picture Change: Five Scales of Accelerating ED
Transcension Hypothesis: Where Acceleratn Ends?
IDABDAK: Social Response to Accel & Developmnt
We’re On a Runaway Train: Being Accelaware

IV. Evo Devo and Exponential Foresight

Seeing It All: Accel., Diverg, Adapt, Convrg, Decel.
Natural (I4S) Innovation: The Evolutionary Drive
Natural (I4S) Intelligence: The Human-AI Partnership
Natural (I4S) Morality: Why Empathy and Ethics Rule
Natural (I4S) Security: Strength from Disruption
Natural (I4S) Sustainability: The Developmental Drive
S-Curves: Managing the Four Constituencies
Pain to Gain: Traversing the Three Kuznets Phases
Hype to Reality: Beyond Hype Cycles to Reality Checks
Exponentials Database: Measuring Accelerations
TINA Trends: Societal Evolutionary Development
Managing Change: STEEPCOP Events, Probs, Ideas
A Great Shift: A Survival to a Sentient Economy

V. Evo Devo and Exponential Activism

Building Protopias: Five Goals of Social Progress
Normative Foresight: Ten Values of Society
Top & STEEPCOP Acceleratns: Positive & Negative
Dystopias, Risks, and Failure States
Three Levels of Activism: People, Tech & Universe
A Great Opportunity: Exponential Empowerment


Chapter 8. Your Digital Self – The Human Face of the Coming Singularity

Chapter 8: Your Digital Self

The Human Face of the Coming Singularity (In Process)

I. Your Personal AI (PAI): Your Digital Self

Digital Society: Data, Mediation, and Agents
Personal AIs: Advancing the Five Goals
PAI Innovation: Abundance and Diversity
PAI Intelligence: Bio-Inspired AI
PAI Morality: Selection and Groupnets
PAI Security: Safe Learning Agents
PAI Sustainability: Science and Balance
The Human Face of the Coming Singularity

II. PAI Protopias & Dystopias in 8 Domains

1. Personal Agents: News, Ent., Education
2. Social Agents: Relat. and Social Justice
3. Political Agents :  Activism & Represent.
4. Economic Agents:  Retail, Finance, Entrep
5. Builder Agents :  Work, Innov. & Science
6. Environ. Agents : Pop. and Sustainability
7. Health Agents :  Health, Wellness, Death
8. Security Agents :  Def., Crime, Corrections

III. PAI Activism & Exponential Empowerment

Next Government: PAIs, Groupnets, Democ.
Next Economy: Creat. Destr. & Basic Income
Next Society: PAI Ent., Mortality & Uploading
What Will Your PAI Contribution Be?

Chapter 10. Startup Ideas – Great Product & Service Challenges for Entrepreneurs

Chapter 10: Startup Ideas

Great Product and Service Challenges for Entrepreneurs (In Process)

I. 4U’s Idea Hub: Building Better Futures

Air Deliveries and Air Taxis: Finally Solving Urban Gridlock
Ballistic Shields and Gun Control: Protecting Us All from Lone Shooters
Bioinspiration Wiki: Biomimetics and Bio-Inspired Design
Brain Preservation Services: Memory and Mortality Redefined
Carcams: Document Thieves, Bad Driving, and Bad Behavior
Competition in Govt Services: Less Corruption, More Innovation
Computer Adaptive Education (CAE): Better Learning and Training
Conversational Deep Learning Devsuites: Millions of AI Coders
Digital Tables: Telepresence, Games, Entertainment & Education
Dynaships: Sustainable Low-Speed Cargo Shipping
Electromagnetic Suspension: Nausea-Free Working & Reading in Cars
Epigenetic Health Tests: Cellular Aging, Bad Diet, Body Abuse Feedback
Fireline Explosives and Ember Drones: Next-Gen Fire Control
Global English: Empowering the Next Generation of Global Youth
Greenbots: Drone Seeders and Robotic Waterers for Mass Regreening
High-Density Housing and Zoning: Making Our Cities Affordable Again
Highway Enclosures and Trail Networks: Green and Quiet Urban Space
Inflatable Packaging: Faster and Greener Shipping and Returns
Internet of Families: Connecting People Over Things
Kidcams: Next-Gen Security for Child Safety and Empowerment
Kidpods: Indoor & Outdoor Parent-Assistive Toyboxes
Microdesalination: Democratizing Sustainable Fresh Water Production
Noise Monitors: Documenting and Reducing Noise Pollution
Oceanside Baths: Sustainable Year Round Beach Enjoyment
Open Blood Scanners: DIY Citizen Health Care Sensor Tech
Open Streaming Radio: User-Centered Audio Creation and Rating
Open Streaming Video: User-Centered Video Creation and Rating
Open Values Filters: Social Rankers, Arg. Mappers, and Consensus Finders
Personal AIs: Your Private Advisor, Activist, and Interface to the World
Pet Empowerment: Next-Gen Rights and Abilities for Our Domestic Animals
Safe Closets: Fire-, Earthquake-, and Intruder-Proof Retreat Spaces
Safe Cars: Reducing Our Insane 1.3M Annual Auto Deaths Today
Safe Motorcycles: Lane Splitting in Gridlock Without Risk of Death
Shared Value Insurance: User-Centered Risk Reduction Services
Sleeperbuses and Microhotels: Demonetized Intercity Travel
Space-Based Solar Power: Stratellite Powering and Weather Management
Stratellites: Next-Gen Urban Broadband, Transparency, and Security
Touch DNA: Next-Gen Home Security and Crime Deterrence
View Towers: Improving Urban Walkability, Inspiration, and Community

Chapter 11. Evo Devo Foresight – Unpredictable and Predictable Futures

Chapter 11: Evo Devo Foresight

Unpredictable and Predictable Futures

Appendix 1. Peer Advice – Building a Successful Foresight Practice