Appendix 3. Resources – Media and Tools for Better Futures

Global Foresight Books – A Starter List

  1. A Brief History of Tomorrow, Jonathan Margolis (2012)
  2. A Cooperative Species: Human Reciprocity and its Evolution, Bowles and Gintis (2013)
  3. A Force More Powerful: A Century of Non-Violent Conflict, Ackerman and DuVall (2000)
  4. Abundance: The Future is Better than You Think, Peter Diamandis and Steven Kotler (2012)
  5. Acceleration: The Forces Driving Human Progress, Ronald Havelock (2011)
  6. American Exceptionalism: An Experiment in HistoryCharles Murray (2013)
  7. An Optimists Tour of the Future, Mark Stevenson (2011)
  8. Bad Predictions, Laura Lee (2000)
  9. Big Data: A Transformation of How We Live, Work, and Think, Mayer-Schönberger (2014)
  10. Bionomics: The Inevitability of Capitalism, Michael Rothschild (1990)
  11. Blessed Unrest, Paul Hawken (2008)
  12. Blown to Bits: Life Liberty, and Happiness after the Digital Explosion, Hal Abelson et. al. (2008)
  13. Bold: How to Go Big, Create Wealth, and Impact the World, Diamandis and Kotler (2015)
  14. Capital in the Twenty-First Century, Thomas Piketty (2014)
  15. Chasing the Scream: The (First and) Last Days of the War on Drugs, Johann Hari (2015)
  16. China’s Future?, David Shambaugh (2016)
  17. Codebreaking Our Future, Michael Lee (2014)
  18. Cognitive Computing: A Brief Guide, Peter Fingar (2015)
  19. Darwin Does Physics, John O. Campbell (2015)
  20. Different Engines: How Science Drives Fiction & Fiction Drives Science, Brake and Hook (2007)
  21. Don’t Know Much About History: What We Need to Know But Never Learned, Kenneth Davis (2012)
  22. Drift: The Unmooring of American Military Power, Rachel Maddow (2013)
  23. Ethical Markets: Growing the Green Economy, Hazel Henderson (2007)
  24. Elon Musk: Tesla, Space X and the Quest for a Fantastic Future, Ashlee Vance (2017)
  25. Energy: Engine of Evolution, Frank Niele (2011)
  26. Enlightenment Now: The Case for Reason, Science, Humanism, and Progress, Steven Pinker (2018)
  27. Factfulness: Ten Reasons We’re Wrong About the World–It’s Better than You Think, Hans Rosling (2018)
  28. Factor Four: Doubling Wealth, Halving Resource Use, Ernst Weizsacker (1998)
  29. Free: Today’s Smartest Businesses Profit By Giving Some Things Away, Chris Anderson (2010)
  30. Free Lunch: How the Wealthiest Get Richer Via Government (and Bill Us), David Johnson (2008)
  31. Future Crimes: Everything is Connected, Vulnerable, & What We Can Do, Mark Goodman (2015)
  32. Future Shock, Alvin Toffler (1970/1984)
  33. Future Perfect: The Case for Progress in a Networked Age, Steven Johnson (2013)
  34. Getting Better: Why Global Development is Succeeding, Charles Kenny (2012)
  35. Great Scientific Ideas that Changed the World (PDF, TTC), Steven Goldman (2007)
  36. Human-Built World: How to Think About Technology and Culture, Thomas Hughes (2005)
  37. Humans 3.0: The Upgrading of the Species, Peter Nowak (2015)
  38. Infinite Progress: How Tech Ends Ignorance, Disease, Poverty, War, Byron Reese (2013)
  39. Innovation Nation, John Kao (2007)
  40. Knowledge and the Wealth of Nations, David Warsh (2007)
  41. Life 3.0: Being Human in the Age of Artificial Intelligence, Max Tegmark (2017)
  42. Machine, Platform, Crowd: Harnessing Our Digital Future, McAfee and Brynjolfsson (2017)
  43. Making the Modern World: Materials and Dematerialization, Vaclav Smil (2013)
  44. Mega Tech: Technology in 2050, Daniel Franklin (ed.), The Economist (2017)
  45. Megachange: The World in 2050, The Economist (2012)
  46. Natural Capitalism: Creating the Next Industrial Revolution, Paul Hawken (2013)
  47. Networked: The New Social Operating System, Rainie & Wellman (2014)
  48. No One Would Listen: A True Financial Thriller, Harry Markopolous (2010)
  49. Nonzero: The Logic of Human Destiny, Robert Wright (2000)
  50. Overcomplicated: Technology at the Limits of Comprehension, Samuel Arbesman (2016)
  51. Physics of the Future: How Science Will Shape Human Lives by 2100, Michio Kaku (2012)
  52. Plato and the Nerd: The Creative Partnership of Humans and Technology, Edward A. Lee (2017)
  53. Prophet of Innovation: Joseph Schumpeter and Creative Destruction, Tom McCraw (2010)
  54. Reinventing Fire, Amory Lovins (2011)
  55. Reinventing Organizations, Frederic Laloux (2014)
  56. Republic, Lost, Lawrence Lessig (2011)
  57. Revolutionary Wealth, Alvin Toffler (2007)
  58. Saving Capitalism: For the Many, Not the Few, Robert Reich (2016)
  59. Scale: Universal Laws of Growth, Innov., Sustain., & Pace in Orgs, Cities, Econ., & Co’s, Geoffrey West (2017)
  60. Smaller Faster Lighter Cheaper Denser: Innov Proves Catastrophists Wrong, R. Bryce (2014)
  61. Social and Cultural Dynamics, Pitirim Sorokin (1957/1985)
  62. Summa Technologiae, Stanislaw Lem (1964)
  63. Sustainable Energy – Without the Hot Air (free online, like this Guide)David MacKay (2009)
  64. Sustainable Materials – Without the Hot Air, Julian Allwood and Jonathan Cullen (2015)
  65. Thank You for Being Late: A Guide to Thriving in the Age of Accelerations, Thomas Friedman (2016)
  66. Technolife 2035, Elina and Kari Hiltunen (2015)
  67. Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital, Carlota Perez (2003)
  68. Technology and Society: Building our Sociotechnical Future, Johnson and Wetmore (2009)
  69. Technology’s Promise, William Halal (2008)
  70. The Acceleration of Cultural Complexity, Bentley and O’Brien (2017)
  71. The Acceleration of History, Gerard Piel (1972)
  72. The Age of Context: Mobile, Sensors, Data, and the Future of Privacy, Scoble and Israel (2013)
  73. The Age of Speed: Learning to Thrive in a More-Faster-Now World, Vince Poscente (2008)
  74. The Age of Spiritual Machines: When Computers Exceed Human Intelligence, Ray Kurzweil (2000)
  75. The Ascent of Money: A Financial History of the World, Niall Ferguson (2009)
  76. The Better Angels of Our Nature: Why Violence Has Declined, Steven Pinker (2012)
  77. The Beginning of Infinity: Explanations that Transform the World, David Deutsch (2012)
  78. The Birth of Plenty: Creating the Prosperity of the Modern World, William Bernstein (2010)
  79. The Case for Rational Optimism, Frank Robinson (2009)
  80. The Ecology of Commerce: A Declaration of Sustainability, Paul Hawken (2010)
  81. The Eerie Silence: Renewing our Search for Alien Intelligence, Paul Davies (2011)
  82. The Ethics of Invention: Technology and the Human Future, Shiela Jasanoff (2016)
  83. The Faber Book of Utopias, John Carey (Ed.) (1999)
  84. The Fair Society: Science of Human Nature & Pursuit of Social Justice, Peter Corning (2011)
  85. The Fourth Age: Smart Robots, Conscious Computers, and the Future of Humanity, Byron Reese (2018)
  86. The Future of the Internet, Vols 1-5, Janna Anderson and Lee Rainie (2008-2013)
  87. The Future of the Mind, Michio Kaku (2014)
  88. The Idea-Driven Org: Unlocking the Power in Bottom-Up Ideas, Robinson & Schroeder (2014)
  89. The Infinite Resource: The Power of Ideas on a Finite Planet, Ramez Naam (2013)
  90. The J Curve: A Way to Understand Why Nations Rise and Fall, Ian Bremmer (2007)
  91. The Lexus and the Olive Tree: Understanding Globalization, Tom Friedman (1999)
  92. The Long Tail, Chris Anderson (2008)
  93. The Master Switch: The Rise and Fall of Information Empires, Tim Wu (2011)
  94. The Nature of the Future, Marina Gorbis, 2013
  95. The New Killer Apps: How Large Companies Can Out-Innovate Startups, Mui and Carroll (2013)
  96. The Pentagon’s New Map: War and Peace in the Twenty-First Century, Thomas Barnett (2005)
  97. The Rational Optimist: How Prosperity Evolves, Matt Ridley (2011)
  98. The Rise of the Creative Class, Richard Florida (2014)
  99. The Science in Science Fiction, Robert Bly (2005)
  100. The Second Machine Age, Erik Brynjolffson and Andrew McAfee (2014)
  101. The Silent Intelligence: The Internet of Things, Kellmereit and Obodovski (2013)
  102. The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology, Ray Kurzweil (2005)
  103. The Skeptical Environmentalist: Measuring the Real State of the World, Bjorn Lomborg (2001)
  104. The Step to Man: On the Evolving Social and Intellectual Nature of Humanity, John R. Platt (1965)
  105. The Switch: How Solar, Storage, and New Tech Means Cheap Power for All, Chris Goodall (2016)
  106. The Technological Singularity, Murry Shanahan, 2015
  107. The Third Chimpanzee, Jaron Lanier (2006)
  108. The Transparent Society, David Brin (1998)
  109. The Shock Doctrine: The Rise of Disaster Capitalism, Naomi Kline (2008)
  110. The State of Humanity, Julian Simon (1996)
  111. The Ultimate Resource 2, Julian Simon (1998)
  112. The Upcycle: Beyond Sustainability – Designing for Abundance, William McDonough (2013)
  113. The Wealth of Networks, Yochai Benkler (2007)
  114. The World is Flat 3.0, Thomas Friedman (2007)
  115. Thinking in Systems: A Primer, Donella Meadows (2008)
  116. This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly, Carmen Reinhart (2011)
  117. Triumph of the City, Edward Glaeser (2012)
  118. Visions of Technology, Richard Rhodes (1999)
  119. Warnings: Finding Cassandras to Stop Catastrophes, Richard Clark and R.P. Eddy (2017)
  120. What Are You Optimistic About?, John Brockman (Ed.) (2007)
  121. What Technology Wants, Kevin Kelly (2011)
  122. Who Gets What—and Why, Alvin Roth (2015)
  123. Who Can You Trust: How Tech Brought Us Together and Why it Might Drive Us Apart, Rachel Botsman (2017)
  124. Who Rules America? The Triumph of the Corporate Rich, 7th Ed, G. William Domhoff (1967/2015)
  125. Why the West Rules… For Now, Ian Morris (2010)
  126. Why Nations Fail: Origins of Power, Prosperity & Poverty, Acemoglu and Robinson (2013)
  127. World Futures: The Great Debate, Christopher Freeman and Marie Jahoda (1978)
  128. WTF?: What’s the Future and Why It’s Up to Us, Tim O’Reilly (2017)

Universal Foresight Books – A Starter List

  1. At Home in the Universe: The Search for the Laws of Self-Organization and Complexity, Stuart Kauffman (1996)
  2. Convergence: The Deepest Idea in the Universe, Peter Watson (2016).
  3. Convergent Evolution: Limited Forms Most Beautiful, George McGhee (2011)
  4. Development and Evolution: Complexity and Change in Biology, Stan Salthe (1993)
  5. Lonely Planets: The Natural Philosophy of Alien Life, David Grinspoon (2003)
  6. Metaman: Merging of Humans & Machines into a Global Superorganism, Gregory Stock (1993)
  7. Reinventing the Sacred: A New View of Science, Reason, and Religion, Stuart Kauffman (2010)

Young Adult Foresight – A Starter List

  1. The Story of Mankind, Hendrik Willem Van Loon & Robert Sullivan, 1921/2013

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Table of Contents


Chapter 2. Personal Foresight – Becoming an Effective Self-Leader

Chapter 2: Personal Foresight

Becoming an Effective Self-Leader

Chapter 4. Models – Foundations for Organizational Foresight

Chapter 4: Models

Foundations for Organizational Foresight

Chapter 7. Acceleration – Guiding Our Extraordinary Future

Chapter 7: Acceleration

Guiding Our Extraordinary Future (In Process)

II. Global Progress: 5 Goals, 10 Values, Many Trends

Innovation: Our Abundant Future
Intelligence: Our Augmented Future
Interdependence: Our Civil Future
Immunity: Our Protected Future
Sustainability: Our Rebalanced Future

III. Universal Accelerating Change

Great Race to Inner Space: Our Surprising Future
Entropy&Information: We’re Running Down & Up
The Puzzle of Meaning: We Have No Einstein Yet
Trees, Funnels & Landscapes: Intro to Evo Devo
Big Picture Change: Five Scales of Accelerating ED
Transcension Hypothesis: Where Acceleratn Ends?
IDABDAK: Social Response to Accel & Developmnt
We’re On a Runaway Train: Being Accelaware

IV. Evo Devo and Exponential Foresight

Seeing It All: Accel., Diverg, Adapt, Convrg, Decel.
Natural (I4S) Innovation: The Evolutionary Drive
Natural (I4S) Intelligence: The Human-AI Partnership
Natural (I4S) Morality: Why Empathy and Ethics Rule
Natural (I4S) Security: Strength from Disruption
Natural (I4S) Sustainability: The Developmental Drive
S-Curves: Managing the Four Constituencies
Pain to Gain: Traversing the Three Kuznets Phases
Hype to Reality: Beyond Hype Cycles to Reality Checks
Exponentials Database: Measuring Accelerations
TINA Trends: Societal Evolutionary Development
Managing Change: STEEPCOP Events, Probs, Ideas
A Great Shift: A Survival to a Sentient Economy

V. Evo Devo and Exponential Activism

Building Protopias: Five Goals of Social Progress
Normative Foresight: Ten Values of Society
Top & STEEPCOP Acceleratns: Positive & Negative
Dystopias, Risks, and Failure States
Three Levels of Activism: People, Tech & Universe
A Great Opportunity: Exponential Empowerment


Chapter 8. Your Digital Self – The Human Face of the Coming Singularity

Chapter 8: Your Digital Self

The Human Face of the Coming Singularity (In Process)

I. Your Personal AI (PAI): Your Digital Self

Digital Society: Data, Mediation, and Agents
Personal AIs: Advancing the Five Goals
PAI Innovation: Abundance and Diversity
PAI Intelligence: Bio-Inspired AI
PAI Morality: Selection and Groupnets
PAI Security: Safe Learning Agents
PAI Sustainability: Science and Balance
The Human Face of the Coming Singularity

II. PAI Protopias & Dystopias in 8 Domains

1. Personal Agents: News, Ent., Education
2. Social Agents: Relat. and Social Justice
3. Political Agents :  Activism & Represent.
4. Economic Agents:  Retail, Finance, Entrep
5. Builder Agents :  Work, Innov. & Science
6. Environ. Agents : Pop. and Sustainability
7. Health Agents :  Health, Wellness, Death
8. Security Agents :  Def., Crime, Corrections

III. PAI Activism & Exponential Empowerment

Next Government: PAIs, Groupnets, Democ.
Next Economy: Creat. Destr. & Basic Income
Next Society: PAI Ent., Mortality & Uploading
What Will Your PAI Contribution Be?

Chapter 10. Startup Ideas – Great Product & Service Challenges for Entrepreneurs

Chapter 10: Startup Ideas

Great Product and Service Challenges for Entrepreneurs (In Process)

I. 4U’s Idea Hub: Building Better Futures

Air Deliveries and Air Taxis: Finally Solving Urban Gridlock
Ballistic Shields and Gun Control: Protecting Us All from Lone Shooters
Bioinspiration Wiki: Biomimetics and Bio-Inspired Design
Brain Preservation Services: Memory and Mortality Redefined
Carcams: Document Thieves, Bad Driving, and Bad Behavior
Competition in Govt Services: Less Corruption, More Innovation
Computer Adaptive Education (CAE): Better Learning and Training
Conversational Deep Learning Devsuites: Millions of AI Coders
Digital Tables: Telepresence, Games, Entertainment & Education
Dynaships: Sustainable Low-Speed Cargo Shipping
Electromagnetic Suspension: Nausea-Free Working & Reading in Cars
Epigenetic Health Tests: Cellular Aging, Bad Diet, Body Abuse Feedback
Fireline Explosives and Ember Drones: Next-Gen Fire Control
Global English: Empowering the Next Generation of Global Youth
Greenbots: Drone Seeders and Robotic Waterers for Mass Regreening
High-Density Housing and Zoning: Making Our Cities Affordable Again
Highway Enclosures and Trail Networks: Green and Quiet Urban Space
Inflatable Packaging: Faster and Greener Shipping and Returns
Internet of Families: Connecting People Over Things
Kidcams: Next-Gen Security for Child Safety and Empowerment
Kidpods: Indoor & Outdoor Parent-Assistive Toyboxes
Microdesalination: Democratizing Sustainable Fresh Water Production
Noise Monitors: Documenting and Reducing Noise Pollution
Oceanside Baths: Sustainable Year Round Beach Enjoyment
Open Blood Scanners: DIY Citizen Health Care Sensor Tech
Open Streaming Radio: User-Centered Audio Creation and Rating
Open Streaming Video: User-Centered Video Creation and Rating
Open Values Filters: Social Rankers, Arg. Mappers, and Consensus Finders
Personal AIs: Your Private Advisor, Activist, and Interface to the World
Pet Empowerment: Next-Gen Rights and Abilities for Our Domestic Animals
Safe Closets: Fire-, Earthquake-, and Intruder-Proof Retreat Spaces
Safe Cars: Reducing Our Insane 1.3M Annual Auto Deaths Today
Safe Motorcycles: Lane Splitting in Gridlock Without Risk of Death
Shared Value Insurance: User-Centered Risk Reduction Services
Sleeperbuses and Microhotels: Demonetized Intercity Travel
Space-Based Solar Power: Stratellite Powering and Weather Management
Stratellites: Next-Gen Urban Broadband, Transparency, and Security
Touch DNA: Next-Gen Home Security and Crime Deterrence
View Towers: Improving Urban Walkability, Inspiration, and Community

Chapter 11. Evo Devo Foresight – Unpredictable and Predictable Futures

Chapter 11: Evo Devo Foresight

Unpredictable and Predictable Futures

Appendix 1. Peer Advice – Building a Successful Foresight Practice