Chapter 11: Evo Devo Foresight
Unpredictable and Predictable Futures


I. Universal Evo Devo: A Model
What is Evolutionary Development?
The VCRIS Model of Natural Selection
Two Fundamental Tensions
Three Universal Processes
Four Systems of Change
Five Hierarchies of Complex Systems
Five Goals of Complex Systems
Six Schools of Social Foresight
Ten Values of Social Progress
The 95/5 Rule: Most Change Looks Evolutionary
Catalytic Catastrophes: Advancing the Five Goals
Universal Devel.: A Hidden Actor in Social Change
Portals (Funnels) and Convergent Evolution
Incompleteness: The Limits of Science & Mind
Adjacent Possible: Steam Engines to Neural Nets
Grand Questions: Purpose & Place in the Universe
Extraordinary Claims
Dangers of the Model
Benefits of the Model
Testing the Model
II. Evo Devo (Empowerment) Foresight
Seeing Both Evolution and Development
Why & What vs. How, Who, Where & When
1. Evolutionary Factors
A. Stories, Causes, and Assumptions
B. Imagin., Combinatorls, Emerg. & Divergnces
C. Uncertnties, Unkns, Opps, Wildcards & Risks
A. Associatns, Trends, Dependncs & Constraints
B. Cycles, Curves, Models, and Laws
C. Convergences, Optima, and Predictions
Four Domains of Empowerment Foresight
Practicing Empowerment Foresight with Clients